Janes Madison
W-L: (20-31) PR = 92.0992Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 1- 5 214 A Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 5-16 220 A Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 13- 0 221 H Le Moyne NE ( 1- 7, 87.2) 16- 1 221 H Le Moyne NE ( 1- 7, 87.2) 11- 4 224 H Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 4- 5 227 A Charleston CA (27-27, 93.1) 7- 8 228 H UAlbany AE ( 1-10, 90.0) 6- 3 301 H Southern Illinois MV ( 6- 8, 90.6) 4- 2 303 A Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 2- 5 307 H East Tennessee State SO ( 4- 8, 95.9) 6- 4 308 H East Tennessee State SO ( 4- 8, 95.9) 0-13 310 A Radford BSO ( 3- 7, 90.2) 2- 4 313 H Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 14- 6 314 H Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 3- 2 315 H Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 12- 6 318 A Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 12-14 320 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 2-12 321 H Towson CA (20-33, 91.2) 0- 4 322 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 6-16 324 H Radford BSO ( 3- 7, 90.2) 6-10 327 A Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 9-11 328 A Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 11-10 329 A Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 1- 2 331 A Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 12- 7 402 H Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 4- 5 403 H Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 6- 5 404 H Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 5- 1 407 H Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 8- 6 410 H UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 5- 4 411 A Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 0-10 412 A Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 4- 5 414 H Richmond A10 ( 8-10, 90.8) 2-10 417 H App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 0-10 418 H App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 10-19 419 H App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 10-14 421 A George Mason A10 ( 5-11, 90.0) 4- 7 424 A UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 11- 3 425 A UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 4- 6 426 A UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 10- 2 428 A Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 1-14 501 H Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 4- 3 502 H Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 0- 9 503 H Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 5- 3 505 A George Washington A10 ( 4- 3, 91.4) 4- 5 508 H Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 5- 8 509 H Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 1-11 510 H Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 5-10 514 H Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 1- 3 515 H UC Davis BW (27-26, 93.9) 0- 8 516 A Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 7- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Florida State 1- 5 -4 -6 1.56
214 A Florida State 5-16 -11 -6 -- -5.44
220 A Butler 13- 0 13 0 +++ 13.44
221 H Le Moyne 16- 1 15 6 +++ 8.46
221 H Le Moyne 11- 4 7 6 1.46
224 H Rutgers 4- 5 -1 -1 0.12
227 A Charleston 7- 8 -1 -2 0.69
228 H UAlbany 6- 3 3 3 0.22
301 H Southern Illinois 4- 2 2 2 -0.22
303 A Cincinnati 2- 5 -3 -5 + 2.34
307 H East Tennessee State 6- 4 2 -3 ++ 5.15
308 H East Tennessee State 0-13 -13 -3 --- -9.85
310 A Radford 2- 4 -2 1 - -3.22
313 H Georgia Southern 14- 6 8 1 +++ 7.13
314 H Georgia Southern 3- 2 1 1 0.13
315 H Georgia Southern 12- 6 6 1 ++ 5.13
318 A Butler 12-14 -2 0 -1.56
320 A Coastal Carolina 2-12 -10 -4 -- -5.94
321 H Towson 0- 4 -4 2 -- -5.60
322 A Coastal Carolina 6-16 -10 -4 -- -5.94
324 H Radford 6-10 -4 3 --- -6.57
327 A Arkansas State 9-11 -2 -4 + 2.10
328 A Arkansas State 11-10 1 -4 ++ 5.10
329 A Arkansas State 1- 2 -1 -4 + 3.10
331 A Georgetown 12- 7 5 0 ++ 4.70
402 H Louisiana 4- 5 -1 -2 1.30
403 H Louisiana 6- 5 1 -2 + 3.30
404 H Louisiana 5- 1 4 -2 +++ 6.30
407 H Indiana 8- 6 2 -2 ++ 4.28
410 H UAB 5- 4 1 -2 + 3.10
411 A Georgia State 0-10 -10 -2 --- -7.79
412 A Georgia State 4- 5 -1 -2 1.21
414 H Richmond 2-10 -8 2 --- -9.95
417 H App State 0-10 -10 -2 --- -7.60
418 H App State 10-19 -9 -2 --- -6.60
419 H App State 10-14 -4 -2 -1.60
421 A George Mason 4- 7 -3 1 -- -4.40
424 A UL Monroe 11- 3 8 -3 +++ 11.19
425 A UL Monroe 4- 6 -2 -3 1.19
426 A UL Monroe 10- 2 8 -3 +++ 11.19
428 A Virginia Tech 1-14 -13 -4 --- -9.13
501 H Marshall 4- 3 1 -1 1.69
502 H Marshall 0- 9 -9 -1 --- -8.31
503 H Marshall 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.69
505 A George Washington 4- 5 -1 0 -1.02
508 H Southern Miss 5- 8 -3 -4 0.85
509 H Southern Miss 1-11 -10 -4 --- -6.15
510 H Southern Miss 5-10 -5 -4 -1.15
514 H Kennesaw State 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.10
515 H UC Davis 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -6.92
516 A Old Dominion 7- 3 4 -2 ++ 5.89
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 H East Tennessee State 0-13 -13 -3 --- -9.85 324 H Radford 6-10 -4 3 --- -6.57 411 A Georgia State 0-10 -10 -2 --- -7.79 414 H Richmond 2-10 -8 2 --- -9.95 417 H App State 0-10 -10 -2 --- -7.60 418 H App State 10-19 -9 -2 --- -6.60 428 A Virginia Tech 1-14 -13 -4 --- -9.13 502 H Marshall 0- 9 -9 -1 --- -8.31 509 H Southern Miss 1-11 -10 -4 --- -6.15 515 H UC Davis 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -6.92 214 A Florida State 5-16 -11 -6 -- -5.44 320 A Coastal Carolina 2-12 -10 -4 -- -5.94 321 H Towson 0- 4 -4 2 -- -5.60 322 A Coastal Carolina 6-16 -10 -4 -- -5.94 421 A George Mason 4- 7 -3 1 -- -4.40 310 A Radford 2- 4 -2 1 - -3.22 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A Butler 13- 0 13 0 +++ 13.44 221 H Le Moyne 16- 1 15 6 +++ 8.46 313 H Georgia Southern 14- 6 8 1 +++ 7.13 404 H Louisiana 5- 1 4 -2 +++ 6.30 424 A UL Monroe 11- 3 8 -3 +++ 11.19 426 A UL Monroe 10- 2 8 -3 +++ 11.19 307 H East Tennessee State 6- 4 2 -3 ++ 5.15 315 H Georgia Southern 12- 6 6 1 ++ 5.13 328 A Arkansas State 11-10 1 -4 ++ 5.10 331 A Georgetown 12- 7 5 0 ++ 4.70 407 H Indiana 8- 6 2 -2 ++ 4.28 516 A Old Dominion 7- 3 4 -2 ++ 5.89 303 A Cincinnati 2- 5 -3 -5 + 2.34 327 A Arkansas State 9-11 -2 -4 + 2.10 329 A Arkansas State 1- 2 -1 -4 + 3.10 403 H Louisiana 6- 5 1 -2 + 3.30 410 H UAB 5- 4 1 -2 + 3.10 503 H Marshall 5- 3 2 -1 + 2.69 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 1- 5 -2.92 15.51 0.68 0.57 -0.64
3 A Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 5-16 -2.92 15.51 0.68 0.57 -0.64
3 A Butler (23-30, 91.9) 13- 0 -8.03 10.39 0.68 0.57 12.55
3 H Le Moyne ( 1- 7, 87.2) 16- 1 -12.67 5.76 -0.68 0.57 5.76
3 H Le Moyne ( 1- 7, 87.2) 11- 4 -12.67 5.76 -0.68 0.57 5.76
3 H Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 4- 5 -6.01 12.42 -0.68 0.57 -1.89
3 A Charleston (27-27, 93.1) 7- 8 -6.79 11.64 0.68 0.57 -1.73
3 H UAlbany ( 1-10, 90.0) 6- 3 -9.91 8.52 -0.68 0.57 8.90
3 H Southern Illin ( 6- 8, 90.6) 4- 2 -9.34 9.08 -0.68 0.57 9.53
3 A Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 2- 5 -3.13 15.29 0.68 0.57 -0.70
3 H East Tennessee ( 4- 8, 95.9) 6- 4 -3.98 14.45 -0.68 0.57 15.62
3 H East Tennessee ( 4- 8, 95.9) 0-13 -3.98 14.45 -0.68 0.57 -1.32
3 A Radford ( 3- 7, 90.2) 2- 4 -9.70 8.73 0.68 0.57 -2.56
3 H Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 14- 6 -7.99 10.43 -0.68 0.57 11.07
3 H Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 3- 2 -7.99 10.43 -0.68 0.57 11.07
3 H Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 12- 6 -7.99 10.43 -0.68 0.57 11.07
3 A Butler (23-30, 91.9) 12-14 -8.03 10.39 0.68 0.57 -2.09
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 2-12 -4.42 14.01 0.68 0.57 -1.06
3 H Towson (20-33, 91.2) 0- 4 -8.72 9.70 -0.68 0.57 -2.66
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 6-16 -4.42 14.01 0.68 0.57 -1.06
3 H Radford ( 3- 7, 90.2) 6-10 -9.70 8.73 -0.68 0.57 -2.94
3 A Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 9-11 -4.38 14.05 0.68 0.57 -1.05
3 A Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 11-10 -4.38 14.05 0.68 0.57 16.70
3 A Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 1- 2 -4.38 14.05 0.68 0.57 -1.05
3 A Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 12- 7 -8.78 9.65 0.68 0.57 11.71
3 H Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 4- 5 -4.82 13.61 -0.68 0.57 -1.56
3 H Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 6- 5 -4.82 13.61 -0.68 0.57 14.66
3 H Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 5- 1 -4.82 13.61 -0.68 0.57 14.66
3 H Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 8- 6 -4.84 13.58 -0.68 0.57 14.64
3 H UAB (31-27, 94.9) 5- 4 -5.02 13.40 -0.68 0.57 14.43
3 A Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 0-10 -6.26 12.16 0.68 0.57 -1.58
3 A Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 4- 5 -6.26 12.16 0.68 0.57 -1.58
3 H Richmond ( 8-10, 90.8) 2-10 -9.07 9.35 -0.68 0.57 -2.76
3 H App State (31-23, 95.2) 0-10 -4.72 13.70 -0.68 0.57 -1.53
3 H App State (31-23, 95.2) 10-19 -4.72 13.70 -0.68 0.57 -1.53
3 H App State (31-23, 95.2) 10-14 -4.72 13.70 -0.68 0.57 -1.53
3 A George Mason ( 5-11, 90.0) 4- 7 -9.88 8.55 0.68 0.57 -2.61
3 A UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 11- 3 -5.28 13.14 0.68 0.57 15.67
3 A UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 4- 6 -5.28 13.14 0.68 0.57 -1.31
3 A UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 10- 2 -5.28 13.14 0.68 0.57 15.67
3 A Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 1-14 -4.61 13.82 0.68 0.57 -1.11
3 H Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 4- 3 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.57 12.83
3 H Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 0- 9 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.57 -2.02
3 H Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 5- 3 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.57 12.83
3 A George Washing ( 4- 3, 91.4) 4- 5 -8.49 9.93 0.68 0.57 -2.22
3 H Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 5- 8 -3.27 15.15 -0.68 0.57 -1.12
3 H Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 1-11 -3.27 15.15 -0.68 0.57 -1.12
3 H Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 5-10 -3.27 15.15 -0.68 0.57 -1.12
3 H Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 1- 3 -5.22 13.20 -0.68 0.57 -1.67
3 H UC Davis (27-26, 93.9) 0- 8 -6.05 12.38 -0.68 0.57 -1.91
3 A Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 7- 3 -6.59 11.84 0.68 0.57 14.19
------
199.69
|
winning pts = 249.3533 losing points = -49.6680
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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